Can Pennsylvanians Take Home Golden Globes Awards? We Weigh Odds

Can Pennsylvanians Take Home Golden Globes Awards? We Weigh Odds
By Jeff Parker
Fact Checked by Jim Tomlin

The 80th annual Golden Globe Awards will be a star-studded celebration of the best in film and television. The annual award show is hosted by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association and will be held Jan. 10, 2023, at The Beverly Hilton in in Beverly Hills, California.

Of the nominees, three hail from Pennsylvania: Amanda Seyfried, Quinta Brunson, and F. Murray Abraham. Will they join the ranks of notable former winners from Pennsylvania like Michael Keaton (two wins, three nominations), Tina Fey (two wins, six nominations) and Sharon Stone (one win, four nominations)? Last year, after receiving six nominations, Philly’s own Will Smith finally took home his first Globe, but I have a feeling he won’t be attending this time — good news for our host, comedian Jerrod Carmichael.

Speaking of West Philadelphia, Quinta Brunson has been nominated for Best Actress — Musical or Comedy for her role in the charming new sitcom Abbott Elementary. She also created and writes for the series and is an executive producer.

Meanwhile, Allentown’s Amanda Seyfried is nominated for her portrayal of Silicon Valley swindler Elizabeth Holmes. Perhaps best known for her breakout role in Mamma Mia, Seyfried previously grabbed a Globes nom for her supporting role in the Citizen Kane origin-story biopic Mank.

F. Murray Abraham, from the Steel City, rounds out the Pennsylvanian nominees. A previous winner in 1985 when he played composer Amadeus Mozart’s bitter rival Antonio Salieri in Amadeus, this time Murray is nominated for Best Supporting Actor — TV Movie/Limited for his role in HBO’s hit series The White Lotus.

But will these hometown heroes bask in Golden Globe glory? PA sportsbooks aren’t offering bets in this market, but as a way to analyze their chances, I’ve set hypothetical odds for each nominated local to win their respective categories. As you’ll see, I’m feeling confident at least one of these three comes up big.

Hypothetical Betting Odds for Pennsylvanian Golden Globes Nominees

Nominee Odds Implied Probability
Amanda Seyfried (Best Actress in a TV Series or Movie/Limited) 1-4 80%
Quinta Brunson (Best Actress – Musical or Comedy) 2-3 60%
F. Murray Abraham (Best Supporting Actor – TV Series or Movie/Limited) 2-1 33.3%

Amanda Seyfried (Best Actress in a TV Series — TV Movie/Limited): 1-4

Starring Seyfried, The Dropout is the true story of Elizabeth Holmes, who at just 19 years old founded Theranos, an American medical tech company that soared to a $10 billion dollar valuation between 2013 and 2014 based on fabricated lab results.

Not only has Seyfried been widely heralded for her transformative performance, she already won a Primetime Emmy for the role in this same category. She’s the favorite and the odds I’ve set reflect her having an 80% chance to win, or -400 in the American odds format you’ll see for sporting events at Pennsylvania sports betting apps.

Quinta Brunson (Best Actress — Musical or Comedy): 2/3

In Abbott Elementary, Brunson plays a hard-working and under-appreciated educator in the Philadelphia school system — talk about a hometown hero! 

Her biggest competition is last year’s winner, Jean Smart from the entertainment industry satire Hacks. Smart beat Brunson at this year’s Emmys, but I don’t see that happening here. The 2/3 odds (or -150) suggest there’s about a 60% chance Brunson wins. The Globes have a long track record of rewarding new shows (and their stars) for a successful first season, and I suspect that trend to continue.

F. Murray Abraham (Best Supporting Actor — TV Movie/Limited): 2-1

Nominated for his role as the philandering patriarch of the Di Grasso family on The White Lotus, Pittsburgh-born F. Murray Abraham has a legit chance to win here even if the supporting performer TV categories at the Golden Globes are notoriously challenging to predict.

While he is not the favorite, I’ve given Abraham a 30% chance (+200 odds) to win one of the Globe’s most notoriously difficult to predict categories. But the award show has frequently rewarded Hollywood veterans while doling out trophies for supporting roles on TV — probably because voters who cannot be bothered to watch everything gravitate to names they recognize.

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Contributors

Jeff Parker is an entertainment writer for PennStakes.com. A writer for film, television and the internet, Jeff is a life long movie buff, with a Masters Degree in Popular Culture. He lives in Halifax, Nova Scotia, where he works full time as documentary filmmaker and producer.

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