Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances: Tracking Steelers Odds To Make The NFL Playoffs

Calli Varner Profile Picture

The Pittsburgh Steelers’ path back to the playoffs in 2025 won’t be easy, and all eyes will be on their new offense. The Steelers have been one of the most talked-about teams this offseason with the additions of QB Aaron Rodgers and WR DK Metcalf. The first public training camp practice is set for July 24, with the first full-pads session on July 29. This will give fans their first look at the much-anticipated updated roster.

As of now, the Steelers have a 44.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to the latest betting odds. That number has gone up slightly since the Rodgers signing. I’ll be tracking Steelers' playoff chances and postseason betting markets all season long.

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/3/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

What Are the Steelers Playoff Chances?

Here's a quick overview of the Steelers' playoff chances and other data points that relate to the team's postseason hopes. The implied probabilities below have been converted from odds found on DraftKings Sportsbook PA.

💪 Steelers Make Playoffs44.4% chance (+125)
🔥 Steelers Win AFC North16.7% chance (+500)
🥇 Steelers Win AFC5.9% chance (+1600)
🏆 Steelers Win Super Bowl2.8% chance (+3500)
🔥 Steelers Regular Season WinsO/U 8.5 (-120/+100)
✅ Last Verified by ExpertJuly 23, 2025
T.J. Watt celebrates

Do the Steelers Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Steelers have a chance to make the playoffs in 2025, but it will depend on how well their revamped roster clicks. Pittsburgh made the playoffs last year but fell short of a deep run. To bounce back, the Steelers have turned to veteran QB Aaron Rodgers to lead the offense. Along with adding WR DK Metcalf, CB Darius Slay, and S Juan Thornhill, the Steelers have strengthened both sides of the ball. With these moves, Pittsburgh looks like a serious playoff contender heading into 2025.

Are the Steelers Out of Playoffs?

No, the Steelers aren’t out of playoff contention yet as the 2025-26 season hasn’t started. After clinching a Wild Card spot last year with a 10-7 record, Pittsburgh enters this season with -150 odds at DraftKings, implying a 60.0% chance they’ll miss the playoffs. That means the Steelers are underdogs to make the postseason again, but there’s still value in watching how their revamped roster performs. Tracking how these odds shift throughout the season will be key for Steelers playoff bets.

Where Do the Pittsburgh Steelers Rank in the AFC North?

The Steelers finished second in the AFC North last season, making the playoffs as a Wild-Card team. According to BetMGM Sportsbook PA, the Steelers have the second-longest odds to win the division. The odds to win the 2025-26 AFC North are below:

Where Do the Pittsburgh Steelers Rank in the AFC Standings?

The Steelers’ odds to win the AFC are +1600, giving them the third-longest odds in the AFC North, behind the Ravens and Bengals. This reflects the uphill battle Pittsburgh faces in a division stacked with talent and some of the league’s top contenders.

Can the Steelers Get the No. 1 Seed?

While Pittsburgh technically could clinch the No. 1 seed in the AFC, it’s highly unlikely. The conference is loaded with elite teams like the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills, and Baltimore Ravens. Based on DraftKings odds of +2500, the Steelers have a 3.9% chance to secure the No. 1 seed this season.

MORE: Pennsylvania online casinos

GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/3/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Pittsburgh Steelers Schedule and Betting Lines

Pittsburgh kicks off the season on the road against the New York Jets, Aaron Rodgers’ former team. In Week 4, the Steelers travel to Dublin to take on the Minnesota Vikings, followed by a mid-season bye in Week 5.

Steelers ScheduleLineResult
Week 1 at New York JetsPIT -3, ML -162TBD
Week 2 vs. Seattle SeahawksPIT -1.5, ML -125TBD
Week 3 at New England PatriotsPIT +1.5, ML +105TBD
Week 4 vs. Minnesota Vikings (Dublin)PIT +1.5, ML +100TBD
Week 5 BYE--
Week 6 vs. Cleveland BrownsPIT -6.5, ML -278TBD
Week 7 at Cincinnati BengalsPIT +4.5, ML +170TBD
Week 8 vs. Green Bay PackersPIT -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 9 vs. Indianapolis ColtsPIT -3.5, ML -175TBD
Week 10 at Los Angeles ChargersPIT +4.5, ML +164TBD
Week 11 vs. Cincinnati BengalsPIT +1.5, ML +102TBD
Week 12 at Chicago BearsPIT +2.5, ML +114TBD
Week 13 vs. Buffalo BillsPIT +4.5, ML +164TBD
Week 14 at Baltimore RavensPIT +8.5, ML +300TBD
Week 15 vs. Miami DolphinsPIT -2.5, ML -130TBD
Week 16 at Detroit LionsPIT +6, ML +195TBD
Week 17 at Cleveland BrownsPIT -2.5, ML -130TBD
Week 18 vs. Baltimore RavensPIT +4.5, ML +170TBD

Steelers Playoff Picture: Key Updates July 2025

Stay up to date with the latest Steelers news and how it impacts their postseason chances:

  • 📅 June 30: The Steelers agree to trade S Minkah Fitzpatrick and a 2027 fifth-round pick to the Dolphins in exchange for CB Jalen Ramsey, TE Jonnu Smith, and a seventh-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
  • 📅 June 19: Pittsburgh releases RB Jonathan Ward. 
  • 📅 June 5: The Steelers sign QB Aaron Rodgers, DB Quindell Johnson, and release DB Joshuah Bledsoe.
  • 📅 May 22: Pittsburgh signs first-round selection DT Derrick Harmon to a four-year contract.
  • 📅 May 21: The Steelers sign G Nick Broeker and release G Lecitus Smith.
  • 📅 May 12: The Steelers sign RB Trey Sermon.
  • 📅 May 8: Traded WR George Pickens and a sixth-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft to the Dallas Cowboys for a third-round pick in the 2026 NFL Draft and a fifth-round pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.
  • 📅 May 1: Pittsburgh signs WR Robert Woods.
  • 📅 April 24: The Steelers draft DT Derrick Harmon with the 21st overall pick in the 2025 draft.
  • 📅 April 22: RB Jaylen Warren signs with the Steelers.
  • 📅 April 15: Pittsburgh re-signs OL Max Scharping and OL Calvin Anderson.
  • 📅 March 28: The Steelers re-sign LB Jeremiah Moon.
  • 📅 March 24: Pittsburgh claims G Lecitus Smith off waivers from New England.
  • 📅 March 20: The Steelers sign CB James Pierre to a one-year contract. 
  • 📅 March 19: DL Esezi Otomewo signs with Pittsburgh.
  • 📅 March 18: DE Isaiahh Loudermilk signs with the Steelers.
  • 📅 March 13: QB Mason Rudolph signs a two-year contract with Pittsburgh. 
  • 📅 March 13: The Steelers re-sign WR Scotty Miller and WR Ben Skowronek.
  • 📅 March 12: Pittsburgh signs WR D.K. Metcalf, CB Darius Slay, CB Malik Harrison, RB Kenneth Gainwell, and CB Brandin Echols.
  • 📅 February 21: Steelers sign veteran TE Donald Parham to a one-year contract.

I will continue to update this page throughout the season, so be sure to bookmark it and return to see all of the latest updates regarding the Pittsburgh Steelers' playoff chances.

Steelers Playoff Picture

The Steelers' new offense is aiming for a playoff push in 2025, led by veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers. Pittsburgh added versatility and firepower with RB Kenneth Gainwell and WR DK Metcalf. These moves should help open up the playbook and create more opportunities, but it’s still unclear if it’ll be enough to get them into the postseason. The AFC North remains one of the toughest divisions in the NFL, with strong competition from the Ravens and Bengals. The Steelers’ revamped roster will need to make every game count in what promises to be a tightly contested Wild Card race this season.

On defense, the Steelers remain solid. With stars like T.J. Watt and rising talent Joey Porter Jr., Pittsburgh’s defense is one of the league’s best. With additions in free agency and the draft adding depth, the defense looks poised to be stronger in 2025. 

Where Can I Bet on the Pittsburgh Steelers to Make the Playoffs?

Sports betting is legal in PA, and you can place bets at BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel, DraftKings, and more. I recommend checking out the most recent Pennsylvania sportsbook promo codes before placing your first Steelers bet this season.

  • Bonus Bets Expire in 7 Days. One New Customer Offer Only. Must be 21+ to participate & present in PA. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Visit BetMGM.com for Terms & Conditions. US promotional offers not available in NY, NV, or Puerto Rico.
  • Must be 21+ to participate and present in PA. Minimum wager $5. Minimum odds -500 or greater. $10 minimum deposit. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. Available in app only. Max. prize, game restrictions, time limits and T&Cs apply. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
  • 21+. New customers AZ, MI, NJ and PA only. New customers who wager $10+ cash on any market with odds of -500 or longer are eligible to receive $100 in Bonus Bets (“Rewards”) each day for your first three (3) days. You must wager $10+ each day to be eligible for the Rewards each day. Bonus Bets will be issued within 72 hours of your Qualifying Wager settling. Bonus Bets expire 7 days from issuance. This offer is not available in NY. Terms apply- see Fanatics Sportsbook app. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ) Call or Text 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.1800gambler.net (MI, NJ, PA)
  • GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). 1 per new customer. $5+ first-time bet req. Max. $150 issued as non-withdrawable Bonus Bets that expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 8/3/25 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.

Steelers Postseason Outlook and Predictions

Just making the playoffs won’t be enough to satisfy Steeler Nation. Despite last season’s success, there’s still doubt about Pittsburgh’s chances of going all the way and winning the Super Bowl. The team added a new QB in Aaron Rodgers and parted ways with WR George Pickens. But Pittsburgh used free agency to bring in fresh weapons like WR DK Metcalf and RB Kenneth Gainwell.

Several Steelers rookies are ready to make an immediate impact in 2025. On offense, third-round running back Kaleb Johnson has the potential to take over as the starter later in the season, adding renewed energy to the running game. On defense, first-round pick Derrick Harmon is expected to strengthen the defensive line and play a key role against both the run and the pass. The Steelers also focused on adding depth through free agency, signing players like Brandon Echols, Darius Slay, and Juan Thornhill. 

Pittsburgh looks set to be competitive again in 2025, but the big question remains: will it be enough to make the playoffs one more time?

Pittsburgh Steelers Playoffs FAQ

Author

Calli Varner

Calli has been an avid sports fan since she can remember. After earning her Bachelor’s degrees from the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University, she combined her passion for journalism and sports. Calli has covered the NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAAF, college sports, and sports betting for several media outlets.

Cited by leading media organizations, such as: