Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Odds Week 13: Tracking Philly's Playoff Picture

Fact Checked by Peter Mooney

Key Takeaways:

  • After starting the season 9-1, the Eagles playoff chances are 99.5%. They are 10-1 heading into week 13 of the NFL season. The Eagles have the 2nd best odds to win the NFC at +205.
  • The Eagles are odds-on favorites to win the NFC East at -1100, which gives Philadelphia a 91.7% chance to win the division.
  • The Eagles Super Bowl LVIII odds are +450, giving them a 18.2% chance to win. They trail only the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers.

Nick Sirianni Press Conference

It wasn't pretty but the Eagles got another win, besting the Buffalo Bills 37-34 in overtime.

The Bills did all they could, racking up over 500 yards of offense and grabbing the lead in regulation with under 2 minutes left on the clock. Even so, the Eagles followed the same recipe they have all season. Make halftime adjustments, stay the course and find a way to win.

Even after an early interception by Jalen Hurts put the Eagles in a hole, the MVP favorite put together another impressive comeback. He ended with 200 passing yards, another 65 on the ground and five total touchdowns. His final rushing TD was a 12-yard designed QB keeper that won the game in walk-off fashion in overtime.

The Eagles now sit at 10-1, having two more wins than any team in the NFL. Still, the market views them as an inferior team to the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers. Interestingly enough, the Eagles defeated the Chiefs on the road and have a chance to beat the 49ers as home underdogs in week 13. It will be interesting to see how the oddskeepers value the Eagles at if they take down both teams who continue to garner more respect in the marketplace.

RELATED: Beaking Down the Eagles Super Bowl Odds

What are the Eagles Playoff Chances?

The only team in the NFL with just one loss, the Eagles playoff chances are 99.5%, which is the highest they can get without having clinched a playoff spot. Like most sportsbooks, DraftKings Sportsbook PA has removed the Eagles odds to make or miss the playoffs from their offerings.

Eagles Playoff Chances99.5% Chance (Odds from week 12 - now OFF THE BOARD)
Eagles Miss Playoffs0.5% Chance (Odds from week 12 - now OFF THE BOARD)
👑 Eagles Win Super Bowl18.2% chance (UNCHANGED from week 12)
👑 Eagles Win NFC32.8% chance (DOWN from 33.3%)
🔥 Eagles Win NFC East91.7% chance (UNCHANGED from week 12)
🗽 New York Times Postseason Simulator99%
🏈 ESPN Football Power Index (FPI)6.5 FPI (UNCHANGED from week 12)
Data Verified by ExpertDecember 1, 2023

The Eagles playoff chances above are calculated using implied probability based on odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. The numbers you see when betting on these different outcomes (such as -20000 for Philly to make the playoffs, -1100 to win the NFC East, or +450 for the Philadelphia Eagles to win Super Bowl LVIII) are written in the American-style "moneyline." Using those numbers, you can calculate implied probability by dividing the odds by 1, plus the odds. So for a bet with the odds of +900 on the moneyline, the implied probability would be 10%.

The Philadelphia Eagles -1100 odds to win the NFC East calculates to a 91.6% chance of Philly earning a playoff spot by winning their division. Following their bounce back win against the lowly New York Giants, the Dallas Cowboys odds sit at +700, giving them a 12.5% chance at winning the NFC East. The Washington Commanders and New York Giants odds are currently off the board at DraftKings Sportsbook.

We'll also track how the Philadelphia Eagles playoff chances via implied probability compare to the New York Times Post Season Simulator and the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI). This number is a predictive rating system ESPN uses to measure a team's overall strength, using it to forecast both game-by-game and season-long results. It determines how many points an NFL team is better or worse than an average team. Basically, the Eagles' 6.5 ranking grades them as being 6.5 points better than an average NFL team, not factoring in home field advantage at Lincoln Financial Field. This metric does seem flawed to this writer. The Kansas City Chiefs, Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills and Dallas Cowboys are listed higher than the Eagles. The Eagles defeated all of the aforementioned teams..

Finally, we have the New York Times Post Season Simulator giving the Eagles a greater than 99% chance at making the postseason. This aligns with the implied probability we calculated, sitting at 99.5%.

Philadelphia Eagles Week-by-Week Playoff Chances

Having the best record in the NFL has the Eagles playoff chances as high as they can get. They now have a 99.5% chance at making the postseason. They saw their Super Bowl odds shrink to +450, the shortest they've been since the market opened. Still, they trail the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs as far as Super Bowl odds are concerned.

NFL fans and especially bettors know, the implied probability is great but with potential injuries and other ups and downs, there are no guarantees until a seed is clinched or a team is mathematically eliminated. That is why we will update the Birds' chances to earn a playoff spot right here every week.

Philadelphia Eagles Schedule and Betting Lines

Here's a look at where the point spread and moneylines currently stand for the Eagles:

📅 Week 1 @ New England Patriots🏈 Eagles -4, ML -198 (Eagles WON and Covered)
📅 Week 2 vs. MIN (Thursday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -6.5, ML -298 (Eagles WON, Did NOT Cover)
📅 Week 3 @ TB (Monday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -5, ML -218 (Eagles WON and Covered)
📅 Week 4 vs. Washington Commanders🏈 Eagles -8, ML -380 (Eagles WON, did NOT cover)
📅 Week 5 @ Los Angeles Rams🏈 Eagles -4, ML -218 (Eagles WON and covered)
📅 Week 6 @ New York Jets🏈 Eagles -7, ML -285 (Eagles LOST and did NOT cover)
📅 Week 7 vs. MIA (Sunday Night Football)🏈 Eagles -2, ML -125 (Eagles WON and covered)
📅 Week 8 @ Washington Commanders🏈 Eagles -6.5, ML -298 (Eagles WON and covered)
📅 Week 9 vs. Dallas Cowboys🏈 Eagles -3, ML -155 (Eagles WON and covered)
📅 Week 10🏈 BYE
📅 Week 11 @ KC (Monday Night Football)🏈 Eagles +2.5, ML +124 (Eagles WON and covered)
📅 Week 12 vs. Buffalo Bills (Eagles WON and did not cover)🏈 Eagles -3.5, ML -175
📅 Week 13 vs. San Francisco 49ers🏈 Eagles +3, ML +130
📅 Week 14 @ DAL (Sunday Night Football)🏈 Eagles +2.5, ML +125
📅 Week 15 @ Seattle Seahawks🏈 Eagles -2, ML -125
📅 Week 16 vs. NYG (Christmas Day)🏈 Eagles -7, ML -295
📅 Week 17 vs. ARI (New Year's Eve)🏈 Eagles -11, ML -520
📅 Week 18 @ New York Giants🏈 Eagles -3, ML -150
Data Verified by ExpertDecember 1, 2023

For the critics of the Philadelphia Eagles 2022 campaign that saw them cruise to a first-round bye, this schedule is a sight for sore eyes. Many pundits referred to last year's playoff run as fraudulent with a "cupcake schedule" due to their last-place finish in the season prior. Philly gets no such luxury this year. They already bested the team that eliminated them in the Super Bowl. They just beat the Buffalo Bills. Now they find themselves as underdogs to the the San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys.

Prior to the 2023-2024 season the Philadelphia Eagles were ranked as having the toughest strength of schedule in the entire NFL sitting at .566. They are one of just two teams in the NFL with a strength of schedule above .500, the other being the Miami Dolphins, a team they defeated in Week 7.

Philadelphia Eagles Playoff Chances: Key Updates December 2023

As NFL fans and bettors alike know well, a single move can change the trajectory of an entire season. This section will serve as an update central for key moves regarding the Philadelphia Eagles.

  • 📆 November 26: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Buffalo Bills 37-34 in OT, moving to 10-1 on the year.
  • 📆 November 21: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Kansas City Chiefs 21-17, moving to 9-1 on the year.
  • 📆 November 14: The Philadelphia Eagles opened the 21-day practice window for S Justin Evans.
  • 📆 November 5: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Dallas Cowboys 28-23, moving to 8-1 on the year.
  • 📆 October 30: The Eagles acquire a 2024 sixth-round pick from the Atlanta Falcons in exchange for DT Kentavius Street and a 2025 seventh-round pick.
  • 📆 October 29: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Washington Commanders 38-31, moving to 7-1 on the year.
  • 📆 October 23: The Philadelphia Eagles acquire S Kevin Byard from the Titans in exchange for S Terrell Edmunds, a 2024 5th-round draft pick, and a 2024 6th-round draft pick.
  • 📆 October 22: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Miami Dolphins 31-17 at Lincoln Financial Field, moving to 6-1 on the year.
  • 📆 October 17: The Philadelphia Eagles sign WR Julio Jones to a 1-year contract.
  • 📆 October 15: The New York Jets defeat the Philadelphia Eagles 20-14 at Metlife Stadium, handing the Eagles their first loss.
  • 📆 October 8: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Los Angeles Rams 23-14 at SoFi Stadium, moving to 5-0.
  • 📆 October 4: The Philadelphia Eagles sign CB Bradley Roby to the practice squad.
  • 📆 October 1: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Washington Commanders 34-31 in overtime, moving to 4-0.
  • 📆 September 25: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 25-11 at Raymond James Stadium, moving to 3-0 on the year.
  • 📆 September 18: Adam Schefter reports CB Avonte Maddox will need surgery on a torn pectoral muscle, and he will likely miss the rest of the season.
  • 📆 September 18: The Philadelphia Eagles released P Arryn Siposs and sign P Braden Mann.
  • 📆 September 14: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the Minnesota Vikings 34-28 at Lincoln Financial Field, moving to 2-0 on the year.
  • 📆 September 12: The Philadelphia Eagles place LB Nakobe Dean on the IR. They also signed LB Nicholas Morrow to the active roster.
  • 📆 September 10: The Philadelphia Eagles defeat the New England Patriots 25-20 at Gillette Stadium to begin the year 1-0.
  • 📆 September 9: The Philadelphia Eagles announce LB Nakobe Dean will be out multiple weeks with a foot injury.
  • 📆 August 29: The Philadelphia Eagles acquire TE Albert Okwuegbunam and a 2025 7th-round pick from the Denver Broncos in exchange for a 2025 6th-round pick.
  • 📆 August 28: The Philadelphia Eagles sign CB Isiah Rodgers and place him on the IR/suspended list. Rodgers was suspended for violating the league's gambling policy in June. He is currently serving a year suspension.
  • 📆 August 24: The Philadelphia Eagles lost to the Indianapolis Colts 27-13 to end with a 0-2-1 record in the 2023 NFL preseason.
  • 📆 August 17: The Philadelphia Eagles move to 0-1-1 in the 2023 NFL Preseason, tying the Cleveland Browns 18-18 at Lincoln Financial Field.
  • 📆 August 17: The Philadelphia Eagles announce Haason Reddick will have thumb surgery but is expected to be ready for Week 1 in New England.
  • 📆 August 12: The Philadelphia Eagles lose their first game of the 2023 NFL Preseason 20-19 to the Baltimore Ravens.
  • 📆 April 29: The Philadelphia Eagles trade with the Detroit Lions for RB D'Andre Swift.
  • 📆 April 28-29: Days 2 and 3 draft picks for the Eagles include OL Tyler Steen, S Sydney Brown, CB Kelee Ringo, QB Tanner McKee, and DT Moro Ojomo.
  • 📆 April 27: The Philadelphia Eagles draft DT Jalen Carter and LB Nolan Smith, both out of Georgia, in the first round of the NFL Draft.
  • 📆 April 17: The Philadelphia Eagles agree to terms on a 5-year extension with QB Jalen Hurts.
  • 📆 March 20: DB C.J. Gardner-Johnson leaves the Eagles in free agency, signing with the Detroit Lions
  • 📆 March 18: The Philadelphia Eagles sign CB Greedy Williams to a one-year deal.
  • 📆 March 15: The Philadelphia Eagles sign RB Rashaad Penny to a one-year deal, as Miles Sanders leaves for the Panthers in free agency.
  • 📆 Feb. 28: Sean Desai becomes the Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator, and Brian Johnson is promoted from QB coach to Philadelphia Eagles offensive coordinator.
  • 📆 Feb. 14: Johnathan Gannon (Eagles DC) becomes the Arizona Cardinals head coach, and Shane Steichen (Eagles OC) becomes the Indianapolis Colts head coach.

Make sure you bookmark or check back to this page weekly for any updates that could affect the Eagles chances.

Key Contributors Toward Eagles Playoff Chances

After a ho-hum start to the 2023-24 season, QB Jalen Hurts has returned to his former MVP-level form. The odds reflect it as well. He is currently the odds on favorite to win MVP at +130. Right behind him in the MVP race are former MVP winners Patrick Mahomes (+350) and Lamar Jackson (+400).

Hurts has now won 28 of this last 30 starts.

Where Can I Bet on the Philadelphia Eagles to Make the Playoffs?

Sports betting is legal in Pennsylvania ever since Gov. Tom Wolf signed it into law in 2018. You can bet on the Eagles to make the NFL playoffs at major sportsbook apps in Pennsylvania, including BetMGM, Caesars, FanDuel and DraftKings.

BetRivers Sportsbook Pennsylvania is a particularly popular sportsbook in the state as well.

Across all major PA sportsbooks, the Philadelphia Eagles remain one of the top playoff-contending teams in the NFL. Whether they get in as the 1 seed in the NFC or sneak in at the final wild card spot, you would cash you "Will the Eagles Make the Playoffs?" your ticket.

Looking Ahead: Eagles Playoff Picture

Only three teams in NFL history have ever lost the Super Bowl and then followed up the next season by hoisting the Lombardi Trophy - the 1970 Dallas Cowboys, the undefeated Miami Dolphins in 1972 and the team the Eagles defeated in Super Bowl LII, the New England Patriots. That is the rarefied air the Eagles hope to be in at the end of the 2023-24 season.

To do so, they'll have to navigate the league's hardest schedule. There are still some huge tests remaining on the Eagles schedule. They passed the first test, holding the league-leading Miami Dolphins offense to just 10 points. Then, they won their first meeting against their division rival Dallas Cowboys.

They then defeated the Kansas City Chiefs on the road before coming home to beat the Buffalo Bills in overtime. All of that success has somehow led to the Eagles being underdogs at home against the San Francisco 49ers in week 13.

It's certainly a daunting road the Eagles must travel, so the wins they have strung together are important. So far, they have continued to stack those wins despite being in the midst of the toughest part of their schedule.

Do the Eagles Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?

Yes, the Eagles have a chance to make the playoffs. As a matter of fact, the Eagles have a very strong chance at making the playoffs with a 99.5% chance at snagging a playoff berth, per implied probability.

Are the Philadelphia Eagles Out of the Playoffs?

No, the Eagles are not out of the playoffs. While many say the Eagles haven't played their best football yet, with the Eagles sitting with a 99.5% implied probability of clinching a playoff spot, it's safe to say the Eagles playoff chances are pretty strong.

Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC East?

With a 10-1 record, the Philadelphia Eagles are currently the top-ranked team in the division. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Eagles are now -1100 to win the NFC East, giving the Birds a 91.7% chance of clinching their playoff berth via an NFC East title. It should be noted that no team has won the NFC East in back-to-back seasons since the Eagles had a four-year stretch as NFC East champions from 2001-2004.

The Cowboys are currently +700 to win the division, meaning they have a 12.5% chance of winning the NFC East.

The odds confirm there's still quite a gap between the top dogs in the NFC East and the Washington Commanders and New York Giants. DraftKings Sportsbook has removed both teams from the odds board to win the NFC East.

Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC Standings?

Despite another win, the Eagles still are looking up in the NFC playoff picture at DraftKings Sportsbook with +205 odds to win the NFC, giving them a 32.8% chance of reaching the Super Bowl.

The San Francisco 49ers are odds on favorites with +190 odds. They visit the Eagles in Week 13.

The Dallas Cowboys round out the top 3 with +380 odds, a 20.8% implied probability.

With all the movement at the top of the odds board, this figures to be a tumultuous market you want to check back here weekly to see the latest odds and implied probabilities for the top teams in the NFC.

Where Do the Philadelphia Eagles Rank in the NFC Wild Card Race?

Heading into week 13 of the 2023 season, oddsmakers expect the Eagles to be playing for more than just a wild card spot. The odds say they should be earning a weekly top spot in the NFC standings, setting their range closer to the No. 1 or 2 seed, rather than the No. 5 seed or lower. The Eagles are currently OFF THE BOARD to miss the playoffs on DraftKings Sportsbook, so it's safe to say just a wild card bid for the Eagles would be falling short of expectations.

Can the Philadelphia Eagles Get the No. 1 Seed?

Yes, the Philadelphia Eagles can still get the No. 1 seed in the NFC. Heading into week 13, they sit alone at 10-1 - the best record in the NFL. Not only are they currently on track to be the top seed in the NFC, they are also trending to end the season with the best record in the entire league. They are -225 to end the season with the most regular season wins.

We will continue to track the Eagles chances at getting a first-round bye and skipping the wild card round every week through Week 18 right here.

Who to Root for if You're a Philadelphia Eagles Fan

Obviously, you're rooting for a win in week 13 against the San Francisco 49ers but outside of that?

Eagles fans should still be paying attention to the Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions who both have 8-3 records. The Cowboys host the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday Night Football and the Lions visit the New Orleans to play the Saints.

We will update you on major matchups and rooting interests for Philadelphia Eagles fans right here through Week 18.

Philadelphia Eagles Postseason Outlook and Predictions

The Eagles postseason outlook has never been more promising in the 2023-24 season. They're now heavy favorites to win the division, so the best numbers on that bet are long gone.

Even so, the Eagles are now slated to be underdogs in two straight games. If they finally lose a game, especially to the San Francisco 49ers or Dallas Cowboys, expect their odds to win the NFC and Super Bowl to lengthen.

We'll update this section weekly throughout the regular season as the playoff picture starts to come into focus, so make sure to keep checking back for any bets that may show some value.

Philadelphia Eagles Playoffs FAQs


Dan Alexander is an NFL betting expert for, focusing on the Eagles playoff chances and Super Bowl odds. He hosts and directs two sports betting podcasts, has a background in pro lacrosse betting, and is a longtime Philadelphia sports fanatic. He'll bring his knowledge base to NFL bettors in Pennsylvania.

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